The conflict that began on October 7, 2023, in the Middle East has involved major regional powers, including Israel, Gulf countries, and Iran, while Turkey has maintained a more reserved stance. Turkey's strategic location and evolving foreign policy under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan have positioned it as a significant player in the region. Erdogan's government has aimed to enhance Turkey's influence, particularly as Iran's power wanes.
Recent reports suggest that Erdogan intervened to prevent a U.S. plan to deploy Kurdish forces in Iran. Over the past two decades, Turkey has reasserted itself in the Middle East, leveraging its military strength, defense industry, and soft power to shape regional dynamics.
Experts note that Turkey's military capabilities, particularly as the second-largest army in NATO, have been crucial in its rise. Turkey has engaged in several military interventions in Syria and Iraq, and its defense industry, especially in drones, has gained international recognition.
Turkey's geographical position as a bridge between East and West enhances its strategic importance. The country has historically aligned itself with Western powers, particularly during the Cold War, while also fostering relationships with Muslim nations. Erdogan's leadership has shifted Turkey's focus towards the Islamic world, creating both allies and tensions with other regional powers.
While some U.S. policymakers view Turkey as a potential partner in the Middle East, skepticism remains regarding its ability to lead in the region due to its non-Arab identity and the complexities of regional politics. Analysts suggest that Turkey's aspirations for strategic autonomy may lead to a more independent stance from the U.S., complicating its role in the Middle East.