Texas Senate Runoff: Polls Indicate Ken Paxton's Lead Over John Cornyn

Voters in Texas will participate in a runoff election on Tuesday to determine the Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in the upcoming midterm elections. Incumbent Senator John Cornyn faces a challenge from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who has received an endorsement from former President Donald Trump. Recent polling indicates that Paxton has maintained a slight lead over Cornyn, with various surveys showing him ahead by low single digits. For instance, a poll by Quantas Insights conducted from May 21-23 shows Paxton at 52.7% and Cornyn at 43.4%, while a University of Houston poll from April 28-May 1 shows Paxton at 48% and Cornyn at 45%. Prediction markets also reflect a higher likelihood of Paxton winning the runoff, with estimates of his chances reaching as high as 95%. Trump has publicly supported Paxton, describing him as a 'true MAGA Warrior' and criticizing Cornyn for perceived disloyalty. The winner of this runoff will face Democratic State Senator James Talarico in the general election, who is seen as a strong contender despite Texas's Republican leanings.