The Cook Political Report has adjusted its ratings for seven House races, indicating improved chances for Democrats in the upcoming 2026 elections. This shift comes amid a challenging political landscape for Republicans, influenced by President Donald Trump's low approval ratings and economic concerns related to the Iran war.
Despite a Republican advantage from redistricting, the report notes that Rep. Shomari Figures (D-AL) is at risk of losing his seat due to a new district map that favors Trump by 14 points. Initially rated as 'Solid R,' Figures' seat has been changed to 'Likely R' following his announcement to run for reelection.
Two open seats have also seen rating changes after Reps. Nancy Mace (R-SC) and Ashley Hinson (R-IA) vacated their positions for higher office. Mace's district shifted from 'Solid R' to 'Likely R,' while Hinson's moved from 'Likely R' to 'Lean R.'
Rep. Max Miller's (R-OH) race was downgraded from 'Solid R' to 'Likely R,' as he won only 51% of the vote in a competitive election despite Trump's 11-point victory in 2024. Miller has faced domestic abuse allegations, which he denies.
In North Carolina, Rep. Chuck Edwards (R) is in a competitive race against Democrat Jamie Ager, with Edwards' seat shifting from 'Likely R' to 'Lean R.' Edwards has denied allegations of pursuing an affair with a staffer.
Rep. Brad Finstad’s (R-MN) seat has also moved from 'Solid R' to 'Likely R,' while Rep. Bill Huizenga’s (R-MI) Grand Rapids-area seat has shifted from 'Likely R' to 'Lean R.' Huizenga is expected to face a well-funded challenge from Democrat Sean McCann.
While Republicans still hold an advantage in these districts, the adjustments signal potential vulnerabilities in traditionally Republican areas.