Vessels navigating the Strait of Hormuz are encountering uncertainty and safety concerns as the Trump administration engages in negotiations with Iran. A preliminary agreement has been reached to cease hostilities in the region, yet the shipping industry remains cautious about transit prospects, which have been largely restricted since the onset of conflict in late February.
Jakob Larsen, chief safety and security officer at the Baltic and International Maritime Council, stated that despite the ceasefire, the security situation for shipping remains unstable. The Strait of Hormuz is a crucial route for oil, with nearly 20 million barrels of crude oil and other products having passed through daily prior to the conflict, accounting for 20% of global oil demand.
While the preliminary agreement theoretically allows for passage, several factors are hindering free transit. Iran has indicated it will permit toll-free passage during the initial 60 days of negotiations but plans to discuss toll implementation with Oman and other Gulf states afterward.
Additionally, Iran has set conditions for vessels, requiring insurance for transit. Currently, this insurance is free, but fees may be imposed after the negotiation period. Ships must also adhere to specific routes along Oman’s coast.
Reports have emerged that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced the re-closure of the strait due to renewed conflict involving Hezbollah in Lebanon, stating that the strait would remain closed until Israel withdraws from Lebanon and U.S. naval forces leave the Persian Gulf.
Larsen emphasized the need for shipowners to be assured of safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Ian Ralby, a maritime security expert, noted that many insurance policies may be voided under current war risk conditions, complicating transit for well-regulated shipping companies.
Despite these challenges, it has been reported that at least 20 oil tankers have successfully crossed the strait since its reopening, with tanker traffic reaching its highest level since June 2. However, the presence of mines planted by Iran and potential navigational hazards continue to pose risks to shipping operations.
Larsen advised shipowners to conduct thorough risk assessments and prioritize the safety of seafarers, highlighting that the preliminary agreement lacks clear guidance on safe routes and traffic management.