The University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll indicates a close race in the U.S. Senate contest between Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and State Representative James Talarico, with Paxton receiving 43% support and Talarico at 42%, a statistically insignificant difference. In other statewide races, Governor Greg Abbott leads Democratic State Representative Gina Hinojosa by 7 points, with 47% support compared to Hinojosa's 40%. The poll surveyed 1,200 registered voters from June 5-12, 2026, with a margin of error of +/- 2.83%.
The poll also addressed public opinion on data center construction, revealing that 29% of Texas voters support building a data center in their community, while 56% oppose it. Opposition is notably higher among Democrats (71% opposed) and independents (62% opposed). Among Republicans, opinions are nearly evenly split, with 42% in favor and 44% against.
Economic concerns were highlighted, with 54% of voters stating that the national economy is worse than a year ago. When asked about their personal economic situation, 39% reported being worse off compared to the previous year, while 22% felt they were doing better. The poll reflects a divided electorate as Texas voters prepare for the upcoming elections.