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Gas Prices Expected to Remain High Over Labor Day Weekend

Gasoline prices are expected to exceed $4 per gallon during the Labor Day weekend, marking a record high. The ongoing conflict in Iran and rising beef prices are contributing to increased costs for consumers, potentially impacting the upcoming midterm elections.

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Pete Hegseth

<p>Gasoline prices are projected to exceed $4 per gallon during the Labor Day weekend, which is typically a busy travel period and coincides with the intensifying midterm election season.</p><p><strong>The big picture:</strong> According to market tracking firm GasBuddy and AAA, Labor Day gas prices are expected to be the highest on record, surpassing the previous record set in 2012.</p><hr /><p><strong>Driving the news:</strong> August saw a record-setting national average gasoline price of $4.07, exceeding the previous year's record, as reported by AAA.</p><ul><li>While regular gas prices are likely to affect Labor Day travel, diesel prices also reached new highs, impacting various industries.</li></ul><div>Data: AAA; Chart: Erin Davis/Axios Visuals</div><p><strong>Friction point:</strong> The ongoing conflict in Iran is reportedly escalating, affecting market stability.</p><ul><li>The Wall Street Journal reported that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is extending troop deployments, while the President stated that the U.S. can strike at any time.</li></ul><p><strong>By the numbers:</strong> The Ipsos Consumer Tracker indicates that the percentage of Americans who believe gas prices are rising has nearly doubled in the past six months, from 38% in March to 79% now.</p><ul><li>Ipsos' Matt Carmichael noted that this sudden shift is unprecedented in their survey history.</li></ul><p><strong>For travelers flying</strong> to popular Labor Day destinations, airfare has increased by nearly 20% compared to last year, according to AAA.</p><ul><li>The TSA anticipates over 17 million travelers at airports nationwide during the period surrounding Labor Day.</li><li>Approximately 2.87 million travelers are expected to fly on the Friday before Labor Day, slightly down from last year's record of 2.97 million passengers.</li></ul><p><strong>Yes, but:</strong> For those traveling or staying home, beef prices remain high, impacting Labor Day barbecues.</p><ul><li>The average cost of ground beef was $6.89 per pound in July, reflecting a 10% increase from the previous year.</li></ul><p><strong>The bottom line:</strong> This Labor Day may impose greater financial strain on consumers, with sustained high energy prices affecting the broader economy.</p><ul><li>As affordability concerns rise ahead of the midterms, the prolonged average of over $4 per gallon and high beef prices could pose challenges for the GOP.</li></ul><p><strong>Go deeper:</strong> <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/19/gas-prices-iran-war-trump-election" target="_blank">Gas prices are rising again — and so is GOP grief in the midterms</a></p>

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A costly summer sendoff approaches

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Gas Prices Expected to Remain High Over Labor Day Weekend