Election handicapper Sabato’s Crystal Ball has adjusted its ratings for eight House races in favor of Democrats as of September 16, 2026. This change indicates an increase in the number of competitive districts with just seven weeks remaining before the November midterm elections. Notably, two races have moved from 'leans Republican' to 'toss-ups' in the ratings: the open seat in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District and another unspecified race.
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Eight House Races Shift Toward Democrats, According to Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted eight House races toward Democrats, reflecting a growing number of competitive districts ahead of the November midterm elections. Two races have changed from 'leans Republican' to 'toss-ups'.
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8 House races shift in Democrats’ favor: Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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Eight House Races Shift Toward Democrats, According to Sabato’s Crystal Ball