<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-FL) is in a more competitive race following her recent disagreement with President Donald Trump regarding his immigration policy.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan race-rater, adjusted the rating for the Miami-area seat from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican" on Tuesday afternoon. Trump won the district by over 14 points in 2024, while Salazar won her election by more than 20 points.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Salazar represents a significant Hispanic community in Miami and its suburbs in South Florida. Last week, she released an advertisement filmed in front of the White House, stating that some of the president’s immigration enforcement efforts have "gone too far." She has been critical of mass deportations and has supported the Dignity Act, a controversial immigration reform bill.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">According to the Center for Politics, "Salazar made national news last week for pushing back on the Trump administration’s heavy-handed immigration enforcement, and a big swing against Republicans in heavily Cuban-American South Florida can’t be ruled out, especially as Salazar faces a credible challenger in former newscaster Eliott Rodriguez."</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Salazar is campaigning for a fourth term in Florida’s 27th Congressional District against Rodriguez, who is a familiar figure in the district due to his 25 years as an anchor at CBS Miami.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sabato’s Crystal Ball also shifted another Republican stronghold, Texas’s 9th District, toward Democrats.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Texas’s 9th District, which transitioned from "safe Republican" to "likely Republican," is located in the Houston area and was established during the 2025 redistricting special session in Texas to be one of the automatic pickup seats for Republicans. The redistricting altered the Texas 9th lines to incorporate rural areas northeast of the city, impacting multiple safely Democratic seats around Houston.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Center for Politics noted, "One other change in Texas comes in TX-9, a majority-Latino Trump +20 district that is one of the five seats Republicans targeted in their gerrymander."</p>