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Talarico leads Paxton by 2 points in Texas Senate race, poll shows

A Fox News poll indicates that Texas state Representative James Talarico (D) is leading state Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by 2 points among likely voters. The lead is within the poll's margin of error, indicating a closely contested race.

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James Talarico Ken Paxton

Texas state Representative James Talarico (D) is leading state Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by 2 points among likely voters, according to a new Fox News poll conducted on October 2, 2026. The poll indicates that Talarico's lead is within the margin of error of 3 points, suggesting a competitive race in Texas. Among likely voters surveyed, 51 percent support Talarico, while 49 percent support Paxton.

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Talarico leads Paxton by 2 points in tightening Texas Senate race: Survey

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Talarico leads Paxton by 2 points in Texas Senate race, poll shows