Midterm elections often impact the sitting president’s party, and President Donald Trump’s popularity is currently low among voters. Speaking at a rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, on October 10, 2026, Trump stated that he anticipates being blamed if Republicans do not win the upcoming midterm congressional elections. "If we don’t win the midterms, they’re going to blame me," Trump said. He also noted that if Republicans win, he expects to receive no credit for the outcome. Trump emphasized the importance of voter turnout, stating, "You better get out there and vote."
Trump is reportedly in a focused campaign mode as the midterms approach, prepared for a potential negative outcome. According to an NBC News average of polls, only 38% of voters approve of his performance, while 59% disapprove. To motivate his supporters, Trump is attempting to counter historical trends that typically disadvantage the sitting president's party during midterms. He is also offering a financial incentive, promising $5,000 to adults if Republicans maintain their majority in the House and Senate, which would total an estimated $1.3 trillion.
As part of his campaign efforts, Trump has been actively traveling, visiting seven different states since the beginning of October. He had planned to attend a football game in Alabama but canceled due to Hurricane Isaias. During the rally, Trump dismissed claims about his declining popularity, asserting that he remains well-supported among his base. He stated, "I’m very popular, I really am," and showed a CNN clip indicating strong support from his followers.
Despite the challenges, Trump expressed confidence in Republican candidates in Tennessee, suggesting they are likely to win their races regardless of his involvement. "These guys are all going to win," he said, referring to the state’s congressional candidates.