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Summary of reporting by Axios • • 1 min read
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Democrats Identify Texas as Key Target for Senate Seat Flip

Senate Majority PAC has identified Texas as a key state for Democrats to potentially flip a Senate seat, followed by Ohio, Iowa, and Alaska. JB Poersch, the PAC president, expressed confidence during a donor briefing, emphasizing the need to win two of these states for Senate control. Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988, with state Rep. James Talarico currently leading in polls against Republican Ken Paxton.

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JB Poersch Lauren French

Senate Majority PAC has informed donors that Texas is their best chance to flip a Republican Senate seat, followed by Ohio, Iowa, and Alaska. To regain control of the Senate, Democrats need to win two of these states, all of which Trump won by significant margins in 2024. JB Poersch, the PAC president, conveyed optimism during a private briefing, while acknowledging the competitive nature of these races. Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988, with state Rep. James Talarico currently leading in polls against Republican nominee Ken Paxton.

Key facts

  • Senate Majority PAC identifies Texas as the best chance for flipping a Senate seat.
  • Democrats need to win two of Texas, Ohio, Iowa, and Alaska for Senate control.
  • Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988.
  • State Rep. James Talarico is leading polls against Republican Ken Paxton.
  • Internal polling shows conflicting results and early voting data varies.
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Original Headline

Scoop: Dems privately name Texas as most-flippable red state

Neutral Headline

Democrats Identify Texas as Key Target for Senate Seat Flip