Quilty Space's report highlights a significant rocket launch shortage expected over the next five years, estimating a shortfall of around 150 launches by 2030. The analysis indicates that if US military demands are factored in and SpaceX does not extend its current programs, the shortage could be even larger. Caleb Henry from Quilty Space noted that the situation is more severe than previously thought and may not improve until late in the 2030s.
Key facts
- Quilty Space estimates a shortfall of about 150 rocket launches by 2030.
- The shortage is based on demand from satellite operators and civil space agencies.
- Including US military demand could double the projected shortage.
- Caleb Henry is the director of research at Quilty Space.
- The launch crisis may persist until late in the 2030s.
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