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Democrats' Midterm Gains May Influence Electoral College Changes by 2028

Democrats' recent electoral victories may facilitate changes to the Electoral College by 2028 through the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. This compact requires at least 270 electoral votes to take effect, and several states are considering joining. Legal challenges regarding its constitutionality are anticipated.

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Patrick Rosenstiel

Following the Democrats' midterm victories, there is potential for significant changes to the Electoral College system by 2028 through the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. This compact aims to ensure that electoral votes are awarded based on the national popular vote rather than state outcomes. If states with enough electoral votes join the compact, it could be activated, but legal challenges regarding its constitutionality are expected. The compact would only apply to the 2028 election if enough states join before July 20, 2028.

Key facts

  • Democrats control key state legislatures in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Nevada.
  • The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact has 222 electoral votes pledged.
  • The compact needs 48 more electoral votes to take effect.
  • Legislation to support the compact is expected to be introduced in 2027.
  • The compact would apply to the 2028 election if enacted before July 20, 2028.
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Original Headline

Democrats’ midterm sweep opens path to bypassing Electoral College by 2028

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Democrats' Midterm Gains May Influence Electoral College Changes by 2028