On July 16, 2026, Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics updated its outcome projections for two U.S. House races. The prediction for a seat in California was shifted to favor the Democratic Party, while a seat in Maine was projected to favor the Republican Party. This change reflects the ongoing competition between the two parties as they aim to gain control of the House of Representatives during the midterm elections.
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Election Projections Adjusted for California and Maine House Races
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has revised its predictions for two U.S. House races, moving California's seat to the Democratic Party and Maine's seat to the Republican Party. These adjustments come as both parties compete for control of the House in the upcoming midterm elections.
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Election handicapper shifts California House seat to Dems, Maine seat to GOP
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Election Projections Adjusted for California and Maine House Races