The Cook Political Report has changed the status of Representative Max Miller's (R-OH) congressional seat from 'likely Republican' to 'toss up' due to increasing scrutiny surrounding domestic abuse allegations made by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno. Moreno has accused Miller of physical abuse towards her and their daughter, as well as illegal drug use. Both Ohio senators have urged Miller to withdraw from the race, and he is currently under investigation by the House Ethics Committee. Despite this pressure, Miller has not withdrawn and has missed the deadline for Ohio Republicans to nominate a new candidate, which could jeopardize Republican chances in the district.
The Cook Political Report noted that the severity of the allegations, which include accusations of physical violence, complicates Miller's ability to retain his seat in a district that typically leans Republican but could be competitive in a Democratic wave year. The report also highlighted that similar allegations have negatively impacted other candidates in competitive districts this election cycle.
Recent polling indicates that Miller is trailing behind his Democratic opponent, Brian Poindexter, by 14 points, a significant increase from a 4-point deficit the previous week. Despite these challenges, Miller expressed confidence in his campaign, stating that he believes his constituents support him and that he has strong fundraising backing.