As of August 12, 2026, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has an 18% probability of winning the Democratic nomination for president, according to data from Polymarket. In comparison, California Governor Gavin Newsom has a 17% chance.
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Ocasio-Cortez Leads Newsom in 2028 Democratic Nomination Odds on Polymarket
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has an 18% chance of securing the Democratic nomination for president in 2028, slightly ahead of California Governor Gavin Newsom, who has a 17% chance, according to Polymarket data.
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Ocasio-Cortez surpasses Newsom as 2028 Dem presidential favorite on Polymarket
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Ocasio-Cortez Leads Newsom in 2028 Democratic Nomination Odds on Polymarket