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Pollsters Misjudged Wisconsin Primary Results

In the Wisconsin gubernatorial primary on August 12, 2026, David Crowley won against Francesca Hong, despite polls indicating Hong was leading by 20 points prior to the election. Analysts attribute the polling inaccuracies to rapid changes in voter sentiment and the challenges of predicting turnout in an open primary format.

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David Crowley Francesca Hong David Axelrod Chaz Nuttycombe Dan Pfeiffer

Our neutral summary

In the Wisconsin gubernatorial primary on August 12, 2026, David Crowley won against Francesca Hong, despite polls indicating Hong was leading by 20 points prior to the election. Analysts attribute the polling inaccuracies to rapid changes in voter sentiment and the challenges of predicting turnout in an open primary format.

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Original vs. Neutral

Original Headline

Pollsters missed again in Wisconsin. Here's why.

Neutral Headline

Pollsters Misjudged Wisconsin Primary Results