As of August 14, 2026, ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is reported to be significantly lower than pre-conflict levels, according to data from the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO). The Automatic Identification System (AIS) indicates that vessel transits are approximately 90% below normal levels, with a decline noted since a peak in late June. A recent report from trade intelligence company Kpler indicated a slight increase in maritime traffic on August 13, with 13 confirmed crossings, a 44% increase from the previous day. However, the majority of vessels reportedly used the Iranian Unilateral Scheme, with few confirmed on the established traffic separation scheme.
John Stawpert, Marine Director at the International Chamber of Shipping, acknowledged that while traffic is lower compared to before the conflict, it has not completely ceased. He noted that traffic tends to increase during ceasefires but decreases again when hostilities resume. Stawpert also highlighted ongoing threats from mines in the waters, which impact navigation.
President Donald Trump stated that the U.S. has total control over the Strait of Hormuz, claiming that the U.S. naval blockade is effective. In contrast, Iranian officials, including the Persian Gulf Strait Authority and Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi, have disputed these claims, asserting that the Strait remains blocked until Iran's conditions are met. A White House official reiterated that the U.S. Navy controls the Strait, allowing passage for vessels not bound for Iran.
U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright reported that oil flow from the Strait of Hormuz is currently averaging nearly 9 million barrels per day, with additional oil leaving the region via upgraded pipelines, bringing total flows to approximately 15 million barrels per day. Wright emphasized the importance of accurate data on maritime traffic and the risks faced by crew members on board these vessels.
Stawpert concluded by stating the need for a resolution to ensure safe navigation and humanitarian considerations for those involved in maritime operations.